Two of the NFL's weakest teams meet Sunday in Indianapolis in a Week 10 game that oddsmakers expect to be a low-scoring affair. The Indianapolis Colts, now 2-7 and on a five-game losing streak, have sold off several pieces before Tuesday's trade deadline, including star guard Quenton Nelson and wide receivers Josh Downs and Keenan Allen, leaving Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor with few weapons on the outside and depleted protection.
The Miami Dolphins, at 1-7, will start Kyle McCord at quarterback for his first career start after Malik Willis was placed on injured reserve with a groin injury. Miami has been among the league's lowest-scoring teams, reaching 20 or more points in just two games this season, and it has already lost running back De'Von Achane for the year. The Dolphins' defense has shown some recent progress, holding the Lions to 19 points last week and limiting Drake Maye and the Patriots to 182 total passing yards a week earlier.S1S2
Indianapolis has struggled on both sides of the ball. Jones has 1,077 passing yards with 10 interceptions against six touchdown passes, and the Colts are tied for the league's worst turnover margin at minus-11. Their defense has also been porous, allowing 42 points to the Jaguars in Week 8 and 27 to the Cowboys afterward. The Colts are ranked 24th in scoring and 30th in points allowed.S1S2
Sportsbooks and projection models favor Indianapolis at home, with the SportsLine model giving the Colts a 68 percent chance to win and Polymarket pricing Indianapolis at 65 percent against Miami at 35 percent. The total of 40.5 points is among the lowest of Week 10, and FanDuel has the under priced at -120.S1S2