The United Nations has issued a warning that a strong El Niño could significantly increase global food insecurity, potentially affecting millions.

Context

The World Food Programme (WFP) has projected that global acute food insecurity could rise to 274 million people across 45 countries due to the effects of El Niño.S1

Key points

• A very strong El Niño event has an 81% likelihood of occurring, according to the UN.S2

• Central America and Southern Africa are expected to experience the most severe increases in acute food insecurity.S2

• The projected rise in food insecurity could add 49 million people to those already facing hunger.S1

• The WFP's warning highlights the potential for widespread humanitarian crises linked to climate phenomena.S1

• The situation underscores the interconnectedness of climate change and global food systems.S2

• El Niño events are known to disrupt weather patterns, affecting agricultural production.S1

• The UN's assessment indicates a growing urgency for international response to food insecurity.S2

• The forecasted increase in hunger could exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in affected regions.S1

Why it matters

• Understanding the implications of El Niño is crucial for planning humanitarian aid and food security measures.S1

• The potential rise in hunger could strain global resources and humanitarian efforts.S2

What to watch

• Monitor updates from the WFP regarding the impact of El Niño on food security.S1

• Watch for responses from governments and NGOs addressing the anticipated rise in hunger.S2